Cleveland Guardians won 3-2 over Detroit Tigers on 2026-09-06. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 2-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Detroit Tigers 46% / Cleveland Guardians 54%. Projected Detroit Tigers 4.4 — 4.5 Cleveland Guardians.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 2-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 7.0 at -102 at -102. Pre-game: model 55.8% vs market 48.5% implied, a +7.4pp edge.
What happened: Total: 5 (line: over 7).
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
Pre-game call: Cleveland Guardians ML at -166 at -166. Pre-game: model 63.4% vs market 60.1% implied, a +3.4pp edge.
What happened: Detroit Tigers 2 @ Cleveland Guardians 3.
Bet returned +0.90u on 1.5u risked.
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