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Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros — 2026-06-15

8:10 PM ETDaikin ParkSP: Troy Melton vs Kai-Wei TengMLBFINAL
Recap

Detroit Tigers won 9-3 over Houston Astros on 2026-06-15. Margin of 6 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Detroit Tigers
52%
Houston Astros
48%
Projected
Tigers 4.5 - 4.4 Astros

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.
Houston Astros
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Detroit Tigers 52% / Houston Astros 48%. Projected Detroit Tigers 4.5 — 4.4 Houston Astros.

Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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