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Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins — 2026-06-05

8:15 PM ETTarget FieldSP: Michael Wacha vs Zebby MatthewsMLBFINAL
Recap

Minnesota Twins won 5-3 over Kansas City Royals on 2026-06-05. Margin of 2 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Kansas City Royals
36%
Minnesota Twins
64%
Projected
Royals 4.3 - 4.6 Twins

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 78-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Kansas City Royals
No recent games on file.
Minnesota Twins
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Kansas City Royals 36% / Minnesota Twins 64%. Projected Kansas City Royals 4.3 — 4.6 Minnesota Twins.

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 78-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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