Detroit Tigers beat Kansas City Royals 4-3, a 1-run margin. We projected Kansas City Royals 4.4-4.5 Detroit Tigers and gave Detroit Tigers a 60% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Kansas City Royals 40% / Detroit Tigers 60%. Projected Kansas City Royals 4.4 — 4.5 Detroit Tigers.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 8.0 at +100 at +100. Pre-game: model 54.7% vs market 47.8% implied, a +6.9pp edge.
What happened: Total: 7 (line: under 8).
Bet returned +1.00u on 1u risked.
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