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Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies — 2026-08-02

3:10 PM ETCoors FieldSP: Seth Lugo vs Kyle FreelandMLBFINAL
Recap

Colorado Rockies won 8-1 over Kansas City Royals on 2026-08-02. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 7 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Kansas City Royals
47%
Colorado Rockies
53%
Projected
Royals 4.5 - 4.5 Rockies

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Colorado Rockies as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1455 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Kansas City Royals
No recent games on file.
Colorado Rockies
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Kansas City Royals 47% / Colorado Rockies 53%. Projected Kansas City Royals 4.5 — 4.5 Colorado Rockies.

Our MLB model rates Colorado Rockies as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1455 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 12.0 at -115 at -115. Pre-game: model 57.2% vs market 51.1% implied, a +6.1pp edge.

What happened: Total: 9 (line: over 12).

Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.

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