Colorado Rockies beat Kansas City Royals 3-1, a 2-runs margin. We projected Kansas City Royals 4.5-4.5 Colorado Rockies and gave Colorado Rockies a 53% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates Colorado Rockies as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1455 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Kansas City Royals 47% / Colorado Rockies 53%. Projected Kansas City Royals 4.5 — 4.5 Colorado Rockies.
Our MLB model rates Colorado Rockies as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1455 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 12.0 at -104 at -104. Pre-game: model 54.0% vs market 48.5% implied, a +5.5pp edge.
What happened: Total: 18 (line: over 12).
Bet returned +0.96u on 1u risked.
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