Colorado Rockies beat Los Angeles Angels 9-8, a 1-run margin. We projected Colorado Rockies 4.4-4.5 Los Angeles Angels and gave Los Angeles Angels a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Angels as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 41-point Elo gap (1496 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Rockies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Colorado Rockies 41% / Los Angeles Angels 59%. Projected Colorado Rockies 4.4 — 4.5 Los Angeles Angels.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Angels as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 41-point Elo gap (1496 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Rockies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 8.5 at -122 at -122. Pre-game: model 58.9% vs market 52.4% implied, a +6.5pp edge.
What happened: Total: 10 (line: over 8.5).
Bet returned +0.82u on 1u risked.
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