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Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays — 2026-09-27

3:07 PM ETRogers CentreSP: Brandon Williamson vs Max ScherzerMLBFINAL
Recap

Toronto Blue Jays won 5-1 over Cincinnati Reds on 2026-09-27. Margin of 4 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Cincinnati Reds
56%
Toronto Blue Jays
44%
Projected
Reds 4.6 - 4.3 Jays

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Cincinnati Reds as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 66-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Cincinnati Reds
No recent games on file.
Toronto Blue Jays
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Cincinnati Reds 56% / Toronto Blue Jays 44%. Projected Cincinnati Reds 4.6 — 4.3 Toronto Blue Jays.

Our MLB model rates Cincinnati Reds as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 66-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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