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Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees — 2026-09-29

8:00 PM ETYankee StadiumSP: Payton Tolle vs Cam SchlittlerMLBFINAL
Recap

New York Yankees won 9-0 over Boston Red Sox on 2026-09-29. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 9 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Boston Red Sox
44%
New York Yankees
56%
Projected
Sox 4.4 - 4.5 Yankees

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 20-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Boston Red Sox
No recent games on file.
New York Yankees
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Boston Red Sox 44% / New York Yankees 56%. Projected Boston Red Sox 4.4 — 4.5 New York Yankees.

Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 20-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: New York Yankees ML at -132 at -132. Pre-game: model 59.4% vs market 54.3% implied, a +5.0pp edge.

What happened: Boston Red Sox 0 @ New York Yankees 9.

Bet returned +1.14u on 1.5u risked.

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