New York Yankees won 16-1 over Boston Red Sox on 2026-08-30. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 15 runs.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 20-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Boston Red Sox 44% / New York Yankees 56%. Projected Boston Red Sox 4.4 — 4.5 New York Yankees.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 20-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 8.0 at -105 at -105. Pre-game: model 56.4% vs market 49.2% implied, a +7.2pp edge.
What happened: Total: 17 (line: over 8).
Bet returned +0.95u on 1u risked.
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