Boston Red Sox beat New York Yankees 5-3, a 2-runs margin. We projected Boston Red Sox 4.4-4.5 New York Yankees and gave New York Yankees a 56% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 20-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Boston Red Sox 44% / New York Yankees 56%. Projected Boston Red Sox 4.4 — 4.5 New York Yankees.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 20-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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