Our MLB model rates Boston Red Sox as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 37-point Elo gap (1482 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 8.0 at -105 at -105. Pre-game: model 54.9% vs market 48.9% implied, a +5.9pp edge.
What happened: Total: 5 (line: under 8).
Bet returned +0.95u on 1u risked.
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