HomeMLB › Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox — 2026-07-07

7:40 PM ETRate FieldSP: Payton Tolle vs Noah SchultzMLBFINAL
Recap

Boston Red Sox beat Chicago White Sox 8-1, a 7-runs margin. We projected Boston Red Sox 4.5-4.4 Chicago White Sox and gave Boston Red Sox a 52% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Boston Red Sox
52%
Chicago White Sox
48%
Projected
Sox 4.5 - 4.4 Sox

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Boston Red Sox as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 37-point Elo gap (1482 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Boston Red Sox
No recent games on file.
Chicago White Sox
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Boston Red Sox 52% / Chicago White Sox 48%. Projected Boston Red Sox 4.5 — 4.4 Chicago White Sox.

Our MLB model rates Boston Red Sox as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 37-point Elo gap (1482 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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