Miami Marlins won 4-0 over Boston Red Sox on 2026-08-26. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 4 runs.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 10-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Boston Red Sox 45% / Miami Marlins 55%. Projected Boston Red Sox 4.4 — 4.5 Miami Marlins.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 10-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Boston Red Sox ML at -129 at -129. Pre-game: model 59.6% vs market 55.3% implied, a +4.3pp edge.
What happened: Boston Red Sox 0 @ Miami Marlins 4.
Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.
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