Seattle Mariners won 3-1 over Boston Red Sox on 2026-06-21. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Seattle Mariners as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 9-point Elo gap (1491 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Boston Red Sox 45% / Seattle Mariners 55%. Projected Boston Red Sox 4.4 — 4.5 Seattle Mariners.
Our MLB model rates Seattle Mariners as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 9-point Elo gap (1491 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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