Boston Red Sox beat Cleveland Guardians 9-4, a 5-runs margin. We projected Boston Red Sox 4.4-4.5 Cleveland Guardians and gave Cleveland Guardians a 56% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 21-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Boston Red Sox 44% / Cleveland Guardians 56%. Projected Boston Red Sox 4.4 — 4.5 Cleveland Guardians.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 21-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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