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Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers — 2026-07-31

10:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumSP: Ranger Suarez vs Edgardo HenriquezMLBFINAL
Recap

Boston Red Sox won 9-4 over Los Angeles Dodgers on 2026-07-31. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 5 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Boston Red Sox
33%
Los Angeles Dodgers
67%
Projected
Sox 4.3 - 4.6 Dodgers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 102-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Boston Red Sox
No recent games on file.
Los Angeles Dodgers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Boston Red Sox 33% / Los Angeles Dodgers 67%. Projected Boston Red Sox 4.3 — 4.6 Los Angeles Dodgers.

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 102-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Under 8.5 at +100 at +100. Pre-game: model 57.5% vs market 47.8% implied, a +7.5pp edge.

What happened: Total: 13 (line: under 8.5).

Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.

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