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Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers — 2026-08-25

6:40 PM ETComerica ParkSP: Ian Seymour vs Jackson JobeMLBFINAL
Recap

Detroit Tigers won 4-1 over Tampa Bay Rays on 2026-08-25. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Tampa Bay Rays
52%
Detroit Tigers
48%
Projected
Rays 4.5 - 4.4 Tigers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Tampa Bay Rays
No recent games on file.
Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Tampa Bay Rays 52% / Detroit Tigers 48%. Projected Tampa Bay Rays 4.5 — 4.4 Detroit Tigers.

Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 7.5 at -110 at -110. Pre-game: model 56.6% vs market 50.2% implied, a +6.3pp edge.

What happened: Total: 5 (line: over 7.5).

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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