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Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox — 2026-04-15
3:10 PM ETGuaranteed Rate FieldSP: Shane McClanahan vs Garrett CrochetMLBFINAL
Final: Tampa Bay Rays 8 — 3 Chicago White Sox
· Our pick: WIN
· Edge realized: 12.0%
Model prediction (pre-game)
Projected
Rays 5.1 - 3.2 Sox
Edge vs market on Tampa Bay Rays: +12.0%. Model basis: MLB Elo + xERA model.
What our model sees
Rays Elo 1506 vs White Sox 1422 — largest gap on the board. Market pricing the Rays at 53.5% implied, model sees 65.5%.
Our model said X. Here's what happened.
Model nailed it · Tampa Bay Rays ML (-115) · WIN
Pre-game call: Tampa Bay Rays ML at -115. Pre-game: model 65.5% vs market 53.5% implied, a +12.0pp edge.
What happened: Tampa Bay Rays 8 @ Chicago White Sox 3.
Bet returned +1.74u on 2u risked.
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