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Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners — 2026-08-07

9:45 PM ETT-Mobile ParkSP: Drew Rasmussen vs Logan GilbertMLBFINAL
Recap

Tampa Bay Rays won 2-1 over Seattle Mariners on 2026-08-07. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Tampa Bay Rays
53%
Seattle Mariners
47%
Projected
Rays 4.5 - 4.4 Mariners

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Tampa Bay Rays
No recent games on file.
Seattle Mariners
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Tampa Bay Rays 53% / Seattle Mariners 47%. Projected Tampa Bay Rays 4.5 — 4.4 Seattle Mariners.

Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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