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Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals — 2026-06-11

2:10 PM ETKauffman StadiumSP: Kumar Rocker vs Michael WachaMLBFINAL
Recap

Texas Rangers beat Kansas City Royals 4-2, a 2-runs margin. We projected Texas Rangers 4.6-4.3 Kansas City Royals and gave Texas Rangers a 56% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Texas Rangers
56%
Kansas City Royals
44%
Projected
Rangers 4.6 - 4.3 Royals

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 65-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Texas Rangers
No recent games on file.
Kansas City Royals
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Texas Rangers 56% / Kansas City Royals 44%. Projected Texas Rangers 4.6 — 4.3 Kansas City Royals.

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 65-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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