St. Louis Cardinals beat Texas Rangers 5-3, a 2-runs margin. We projected Texas Rangers 4.5-4.4 St. Louis Cardinals and gave Texas Rangers a 51% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 30-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Texas Rangers 51% / St. Louis Cardinals 49%. Projected Texas Rangers 4.5 — 4.4 St. Louis Cardinals.
Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 30-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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