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Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros — 2026-08-02

2:10 PM ETDaikin ParkSP: Kumar Rocker vs Peter LambertMLBFINAL
Recap

Houston Astros won 7-3 over Texas Rangers on 2026-08-02. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 4 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Texas Rangers
54%
Houston Astros
46%
Projected
Rangers 4.5 - 4.4 Astros

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Texas Rangers
No recent games on file.
Houston Astros
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Texas Rangers 54% / Houston Astros 46%. Projected Texas Rangers 4.5 — 4.4 Houston Astros.

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Under 9.0 at -122 at -122. Pre-game: model 58.3% vs market 52.4% implied, a +5.9pp edge.

What happened: Total: 10 (line: under 9).

Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.

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