Pittsburgh Pirates won 5-3 over New York Yankees on 2026-07-22. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 48-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 53% / New York Yankees 47%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.5 — 4.4 New York Yankees.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 48-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1502) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Yankees would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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