Home › MLB › Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers — 2026-09-26

1:10 PM ETComerica ParkSP: Kirby Yates vs Justin VerlanderMLBFINAL
Recap

Detroit Tigers won 4-3 over Pittsburgh Pirates on 2026-09-26. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Pittsburgh Pirates
54%
Detroit Tigers
46%
Projected
Pirates 4.5 - 4.4 Tigers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 49-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Pittsburgh Pirates
No recent games on file.
Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 54% / Detroit Tigers 46%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.5 — 4.4 Detroit Tigers.

Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 49-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Get our daily picks in Discord
All sports. Model-backed picks with edge math + analysis. See pricing ->

Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.