Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 95-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Rockies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 11.5 at -106 at -106. Pre-game: model 55.8% vs market 49.4% implied, a +6.4pp edge.
What happened: Total: 7 (line: over 11.5).
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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