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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies — 2026-06-19

8:40 PM ETCoors FieldSP: Bubba Chandler vs Kyle FreelandMLBFINAL
Recap

Colorado Rockies won 4-3 over Pittsburgh Pirates on 2026-06-19. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Pittsburgh Pirates
60%
Colorado Rockies
40%
Projected
Pirates 4.6 - 4.3 Rockies

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 95-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Rockies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Pittsburgh Pirates
No recent games on file.
Colorado Rockies
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 60% / Colorado Rockies 40%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6 — 4.3 Colorado Rockies.

Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 95-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Rockies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 11.5 at -106 at -106. Pre-game: model 55.8% vs market 49.4% implied, a +6.4pp edge.

What happened: Total: 7 (line: over 11.5).

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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