Pittsburgh Pirates beat Philadelphia Phillies 6-1, a 5-runs margin. We projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6-4.3 Philadelphia Phillies and gave Pittsburgh Pirates a 61% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 100-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 61% / Philadelphia Phillies 39%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6 — 4.3 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 100-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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