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Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres — 2026-08-26

4:10 PM ETPetco ParkSP: Bubba Chandler vs Randy VásquezMLBFINAL
Recap

San Diego Padres won 3-0 over Pittsburgh Pirates on 2026-08-26. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Pittsburgh Pirates
43%
San Diego Padres
57%
Projected
Pirates 4.4 - 4.5 Padres

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 27-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1550) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Pirates would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Pittsburgh Pirates
No recent games on file.
San Diego Padres
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 43% / San Diego Padres 57%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.4 — 4.5 San Diego Padres.

Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 27-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1550) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Pirates would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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