Pittsburgh Pirates beat Washington Nationals 11-5, a 6-runs margin. We projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6-4.3 Washington Nationals and gave Pittsburgh Pirates a 58% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 77-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 58% / Washington Nationals 42%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6 — 4.3 Washington Nationals.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 77-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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