Pittsburgh Pirates won 13-1 over Miami Marlins on 2026-08-13. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 12 runs.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami Marlins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 55% / Miami Marlins 45%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6 — 4.3 Miami Marlins.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami Marlins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 8.0 at -106 at -106. Pre-game: model 54.7% vs market 49.5% implied, a +5.1pp edge.
What happened: Total: 14 (line: under 8).
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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