Chicago Cubs won 12-2 over Pittsburgh Pirates on 2026-09-11. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 10 runs.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -16-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1550) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Pirates would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 49% / Chicago Cubs 51%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.5 — 4.4 Chicago Cubs.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -16-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1550) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Pirates would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 8.0 at -119 at -119. Pre-game: model 58.6% vs market 51.8% implied, a +6.7pp edge.
What happened: Total: 14 (line: over 8).
Bet returned +1.26u on 1.5u risked.
Pre-game call: Pittsburgh Pirates ML at +160 at +160. Pre-game: model 41.9% vs market 37.0% implied, a +4.9pp edge.
What happened: Pittsburgh Pirates 2 @ Chicago Cubs 12.
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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