Pittsburgh Pirates won 6-2 over St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-08-29. Margin of 4 runs.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 61-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 55% / St. Louis Cardinals 45%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6 — 4.3 St. Louis Cardinals.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 61-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 8.0 at -104 at -104. Pre-game: model 54.2% vs market 48.7% implied, a +5.5pp edge.
What happened: Total: 8 PUSH (line: under 8).
Bet returned +0.00u.
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