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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Athletics — 2026-06-15

9:40 PM ETSutter Health ParkSP: Jared Jones vs J.T. GinnMLBFINAL
Recap

Athletics won 11-2 over Pittsburgh Pirates on 2026-06-15. Margin of 9 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Pittsburgh Pirates
49%
Athletics
51%
Projected
Pirates 4.5 - 4.4 Athletics

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -17-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1550) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Pirates would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Pittsburgh Pirates
No recent games on file.
Athletics
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What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Pittsburgh Pirates 49% / Athletics 51%. Projected Pittsburgh Pirates 4.5 — 4.4 Athletics.

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -17-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1550) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Pirates would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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