Philadelphia Phillies won 7-5 over Minnesota Twins on 2026-08-16. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 83-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 35% / Minnesota Twins 65%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.3 — 4.6 Minnesota Twins.
Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 83-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 9.5 at +102 at +102. Pre-game: model 54.6% vs market 48.1% implied, a +6.6pp edge.
What happened: Total: 12 (line: over 9.5).
Bet returned +1.02u on 1u risked.
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