Philadelphia Phillies beat Detroit Tigers 4-2, a 2-runs margin. We projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4-4.5 Detroit Tigers and gave Detroit Tigers a 61% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it. Our published pick missed.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 51-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 39% / Detroit Tigers 61%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4 — 4.5 Detroit Tigers.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 51-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Detroit Tigers ML at +114 at +114. Pre-game: model 53.0% vs market 45.0% implied, a +8.0pp edge.
What happened: Philadelphia Phillies 4 @ Detroit Tigers 2.
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.