Cincinnati Reds beat Philadelphia Phillies 11-5, a 6-runs margin. We projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.3-4.6 Cincinnati Reds and gave Cincinnati Reds a 63% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Cincinnati Reds as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 69-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 37% / Cincinnati Reds 63%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.3 — 4.6 Cincinnati Reds.
Our MLB model rates Cincinnati Reds as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 69-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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