Philadelphia Phillies beat Baltimore Orioles 8-0, a 8-runs margin. We projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4-4.5 Baltimore Orioles and gave Baltimore Orioles a 60% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Baltimore Orioles as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 47-point Elo gap (1497 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 40% / Baltimore Orioles 60%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4 — 4.5 Baltimore Orioles.
Our MLB model rates Baltimore Orioles as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 47-point Elo gap (1497 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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