Philadelphia Phillies beat Washington Nationals 14-9, a 5-runs margin. We projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4-4.5 Washington Nationals and gave Washington Nationals a 57% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Washington Nationals as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 23-point Elo gap (1473 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 43% / Washington Nationals 57%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4 — 4.5 Washington Nationals.
Our MLB model rates Washington Nationals as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 23-point Elo gap (1473 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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