Philadelphia Phillies won 7-2 over New York Mets on 2026-09-20. Margin of 5 runs.
Our MLB model rates New York Mets as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -13-point Elo gap (1437 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 48% / New York Mets 52%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates New York Mets as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -13-point Elo gap (1437 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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