Our MLB model rates New York Mets as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -13-point Elo gap (1437 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Philadelphia Phillies ML at -149 at -149. Pre-game: model 63.5% vs market 57.2% implied, a +6.3pp edge.
What happened: Philadelphia Phillies 5 @ New York Mets 4.
Bet returned +1.34u on 2u risked.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.