New York Mets beat Philadelphia Phillies 6-2, a 4-runs margin. We projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.5-4.4 New York Mets and gave New York Mets a 52% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick missed.
Our MLB model rates New York Mets as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -13-point Elo gap (1437 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 48% / New York Mets 52%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates New York Mets as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -13-point Elo gap (1437 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Philadelphia Phillies ML at +113 at +113. Pre-game: model 52.2% vs market 44.8% implied, a +7.3pp edge.
What happened: Philadelphia Phillies 2 @ New York Mets 6.
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.