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Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners — 2026-08-24

9:40 PM ETT-Mobile ParkSP: Zack Wheeler vs Logan GilbertMLBFINAL
Recap

Seattle Mariners won 9-2 over Philadelphia Phillies on 2026-08-24. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 7 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Philadelphia Phillies
41%
Seattle Mariners
59%
Projected
Phillies 4.4 - 4.5 Mariners

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Seattle Mariners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 41-point Elo gap (1491 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Philadelphia Phillies
No recent games on file.
Seattle Mariners
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 41% / Seattle Mariners 59%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4 — 4.5 Seattle Mariners.

Our MLB model rates Seattle Mariners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 41-point Elo gap (1491 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Philadelphia Phillies ML at -116 at -116. Pre-game: model 56.3% vs market 51.5% implied, a +4.7pp edge.

What happened: Philadelphia Phillies 2 @ Seattle Mariners 9.

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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