HomeMLB › Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers — 2026-05-30

10:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumSP: Jesús Luzardo vs Roki SasakiMLBFINAL
Recap

Los Angeles Dodgers beat Philadelphia Phillies 4-2, a 2-runs margin. We projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.2-4.7 Los Angeles Dodgers and gave Los Angeles Dodgers a 71% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Philadelphia Phillies
29%
Los Angeles Dodgers
71%
Projected
Phillies 4.2 - 4.7 Dodgers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 71%. The driver is a 134-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Philadelphia Phillies
No recent games on file.
Los Angeles Dodgers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 29% / Los Angeles Dodgers 71%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.2 — 4.7 Los Angeles Dodgers.

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 71%. The driver is a 134-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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