Home › MLB › Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — 2026-09-02

3:40 PM ETChase FieldSP: Andrew Painter vs Taylor ClarkeMLBFINAL
Recap

Arizona Diamondbacks won 1-0 over Philadelphia Phillies on 2026-09-02. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Philadelphia Phillies
34%
Arizona Diamondbacks
66%
Projected
Phillies 4.3 - 4.6 Diamondbacks

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 95-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Philadelphia Phillies
No recent games on file.
Arizona Diamondbacks
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 34% / Arizona Diamondbacks 66%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.3 — 4.6 Arizona Diamondbacks.

Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 95-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Get our daily picks in Discord
All sports. Model-backed picks with edge math + analysis. See pricing ->

Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.