St. Louis Cardinals won 7-1 over Philadelphia Phillies on 2026-08-12. Margin of 6 runs.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 41% / St. Louis Cardinals 59%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4 — 4.5 St. Louis Cardinals.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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