Philadelphia Phillies won 6-5 over St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-08-10. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 41% / St. Louis Cardinals 59%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4 — 4.5 St. Louis Cardinals.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: St. Louis Cardinals ML at -106 at -106. Pre-game: model 57.2% vs market 50.6% implied, a +6.6pp edge.
What happened: Philadelphia Phillies 6 @ St. Louis Cardinals 5.
Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.
Pre-game call: Over 9.0 at -110 at -110. Pre-game: model 56.7% vs market 50.0% implied, a +6.7pp edge.
What happened: Total: 11 (line: over 9).
Bet returned +0.91u on 1u risked.
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