Toronto Blue Jays beat Philadelphia Phillies 3-2, a 1-run margin. We projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4-4.5 Toronto Blue Jays and gave Toronto Blue Jays a 54% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Toronto Blue Jays as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 3-point Elo gap (1453 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 46% / Toronto Blue Jays 54%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4 — 4.5 Toronto Blue Jays.
Our MLB model rates Toronto Blue Jays as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 3-point Elo gap (1453 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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