Philadelphia Phillies won 5-3 over Los Angeles Angels on 2026-08-28. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Angels as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1496 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Philadelphia Phillies 40% / Los Angeles Angels 60%. Projected Philadelphia Phillies 4.4 — 4.5 Los Angeles Angels.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Angels as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1496 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 8.0 at -112 at -112. Pre-game: model 56.2% vs market 50.8% implied, a +5.5pp edge.
What happened: Total: 8 PUSH (line: over 8).
Bet returned +0.00u.
Pre-game call: Los Angeles Angels ML at +119 at +119. Pre-game: model 48.9% vs market 44.4% implied, a +4.5pp edge.
What happened: Philadelphia Phillies 5 @ Los Angeles Angels 3.
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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