Philadelphia Phillies beat San Diego Padres 3-2, a 1-run margin. We projected San Diego Padres 4.7-4.2 Philadelphia Phillies and gave San Diego Padres a 64% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 127-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: San Diego Padres 64% / Philadelphia Phillies 36%. Projected San Diego Padres 4.7 — 4.2 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 127-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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