New York Mets won 4-2 over San Diego Padres on 2026-08-19. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 140-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: San Diego Padres 66% / New York Mets 34%. Projected San Diego Padres 4.7 — 4.2 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 140-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.